QRZ.RU EXPRESS от 22 июня 2024

Опубликовано: 21 июня 2024 в 1231 UTC
SIDC URSIGRAM 40621
Состояние солнечной активности на 21 июня 2024, 1230UT
Прогноз SIDC
Солнечные вспышки. Ожидаются вспышки класса M (вероятность >=50%)
Геомагнитное поле: Возмущенное (A>=20, K=4)
Солнечные протоны: Спокойное состояние
Прогноз на 21 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 204 / AP-индекс: 013
Прогноз на 22 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 204 / AP-индекс: 021
Прогноз на 23 июня 2024: Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 204 / AP-индекс: 013
Комментарий (на английском языке): Solar Active Regions and flaring: Solar flaring activity over the last 24 hours has been at moderate levels, with multiple C-class and M-class flares. The largest flare was a M5.8 flare peaking at 23:13 UTC originated from NOAA active region 3719. There are currently six sunspot groups on the disc with NOAA active region 3719 producing the two M-class flares. The solar flaring activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares expected, M-class flares possible and a small chance of X-class flares. Coronal mass ejections: No Earth-directed coronal mass ejection (CME) was observed in SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronographe images over the last 24 hours. Coronal holes: A large north midlatitude north coronal hole with negative polarity, which has crossed the central meridian on June 18 is on geoeffective location, now in the west side of the sun. Solar wind: Solar wind conditions have returned to slow wind regime in the last 24 hours. The solar wind speed decreased from around 501 km/s to 388 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field remained below 6 nT and the Bz component varied between -3 nT and 5 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain in a slow solar wind regime. Then the high-speed stream from the large north midlatitude north coronal hole with negative polarity is expected to reach Earth in the next period. Geomagnetism: Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (NOAA Kp 0-2, K BEL 1-2). Later, active conditions to minor storm may be observed later in the next period, in response of the high-speed stream from the large north midlatitude north coronal hole. Proton flux levels: The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold level and decrease over the next 24 hours. Electron fluxes at GEO: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence is presently at normal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.Сегодняшнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 148,
получено на основе анализа результатов 12 станций наблюдения.
Солнечные индексы за 20 Jun 2024
Число Вольфа по данным обсерватории Катания (IT9): ///
Солнечный поток в диапазоне 10см: 203
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Chambon-la-Foret (F): 013
A-индекс по данным обсерватории Wingst (DL): 009
Планетарный А-индекс Ap: 007
Вчерашнее значение числа солнечных пятен (International Sunspot Number): 163,
получено на основе анализа результатов 22 станций наблюдения.
Прошедшие события на Солнце:
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
20 1509 1518 1522 ////// M1.1 ///3719
20 2300 2316 2320 S14E57 M5.7 1B ///3719